Sunday, February 8, 2009

$1 trillion More for the Pigmen

Everyday I wake up hoping that our politicians will see the light and realize that we are heading down the wrong path. I woke up once again this morning with the same hopes. Today they were quickly dashed once I flipped on the computer and clicked onto Bloomberg.

I need to repeat part of my post from yesterday before I get to this because I am absolutely irate about the TALF. We need to torpedo the TALF. Wall St is once again going to be allowed make billions at our expense thanks to our friends in DC. My god, the founding fathers would roll over in their grave if they saw what was happening in this country right now.

The TALF could possibly become the greatest transfer of wealth in the history of this nation. I am totally appalled that the Fed/Treasury would introduce legislation that would allow hedge funds to make billions of dollars with literally zero risk at our expense. All of the risk is put back on the taxpayer after the hedge funds rake in their billions of profit. The fact that the Fed could even think of such an idea at a time when every American is struggling is absolutely piggish and disgusting.

Remember folks, here is the game. Via the TALF: The hedgie's are allowed to leverage up to 20-1 and buy securitizations that are worth close to zero at say .80 on the dollar. This allows the banks to get rid of the garbage on their balance sheets at artificially high prices which reduces their losses.

Any real capitalistic/moral nation would force the banks to take the losses now instead of passing the losses onto the taxpayer down the road. I guess our nation wants to head down a different path. I mean geez: why should they take the losses when we are dumb enough to sit back and take them ourselves right? Ok sarcasm now off

Back to the game:

The hedgie's make double digit returns on the securitizations that are highly leveraged. This leverage allows them to make huge profits in a very short period of time before the asset drops in value. So once the asset drops in value, the TALF sstates that the hedge funds can only lose what they put in. So if they put in $50 million and make $100 million before the asset drops in value their only exposure is the $50 million. So they basically walk with $50 mil in their pocket.

So what happens to these same securitizations that continue to plummet in value down to their real price of say .20 on the dollar once the hedgies are out? It goes back to the Fed/Treasury balance sheet: In other words the taxpayer.

So people, once again Wall St gets rich and we take the losses. How is this crap allowed to happen as our economy falls off a cliff? Is their any morality at all in DC or Wall St anymore? where are the cops? HOW IN THE HELL IS THIS ALLOWED TO HAPPEN?????

Ok Rant off

Here is the scoop on the pigmen's next potential $1 trillion pot of gold

It appears that Obama is going to ask Congress for an additional $1 trillion dollars in aide for the banks:

"Feb. 8 (Bloomberg) -- President Barack Obama’s struggle to push an economic stimulus bill through Congress may seem easy compared to what he’ll encounter when he returns to Capitol Hill for additional funds to rescue the banking system.

Obama will likely need to ask Congress for more money to recapitalize banks, as much as $1 trillion on top of the roughly $300 billion remaining in the current Troubled Asset Relief Program, according to an estimate by former Federal Reserve economist Ward McCarthy. That will be an even tougher sell for the new president than the stimulus plan, which is headed for a Senate vote this week after passing the House with no Republican support.

That package, at least $780 billion of spending and tax cuts aimed at boosting consumer demand and creating jobs, is just a part of what it will take to pull the economy out of the 14- month-old recession. The stimulus will be effective only if credit markets, currently frozen by illiquid assets clogging banks’ balance sheets, begin to function again.

“It will take an enormous effort to build broader public support” for another bank rescue plan, said Thomas Mann, a congressional scholar at the Brookings Institution in Washington. “Had the stimulus gone through swimmingly it would have made it easier.”

Treasury will probably propose a combination of buying toxic bank assets, providing guarantees for other assets, and making additional capital infusions to banks, said McCarthy, now a principal at Stone & McCarthy Research Associates, an economic research firm in Skillman, New Jersey.

New funding for the banking system will be all the harder to justify because the original TARP, which so far has provided almost $400 billion to more than 360 banks, hasn’t shown much in the way of tangible benefits.

“They continue to assume that if you do something and it hasn’t worked, you have to continue to do more of it,” said Representative Darrell Issa, a Republican from California. “That’s the definition of insanity.”

Obama and his staff struggled last week to win support for the stimulus package from several moderate Republicans in the Senate, including Susan Collins and Olympia Snowe of Maine and Arlen Specter of Pennsylvania.

Support for another round of cash for ailing banks may be even tougher to win after reports last week raised new questions about the cost and effectiveness of the assistance provided already.
$78 Billion Overpayment

The chairman of the TARP’s Congressional Oversight Panel told the Senate Banking Committee that Treasury paid $254 billion of TARP funds for bank equity worth $176 billion, an overpayment of $78 billion. And even after the infusions of taxpayer funds, a majority of U.S. banks still made it tougher for consumers and businesses to get credit at the end of 2008, a Feb. 2 Federal Reserve report showed.

Such findings give ammunition to lawmakers such as Utah Republican Senator Bob Bennett of Utah who say they were misled about how the TARP would work.

“Can we believe what we are told next time?” Bennett said at the Senate committee hearing. “Those of us who decided we were going to take the political risk of voting for this the first time will be faced with a constituency that will say, ‘Fool me once, OK, but don’t fool me twice.’”

Final Take:

Here we go again! Notice the section that I highlighted above. Uhhhh...Haven't we already tried this before?

The banks burned through the first round of injections from the TARP faster than a hot knife through butter. Why should we throw another $1 trillion into this black hole?

I also see no mentioning of any repercussions or punishments being doled out to the fraudsters that created this mess. This is total bullsh*t. A march to Washington needs to happen and fast. The fat cat elites of this nation are going to rob whats left of our nation's wealth if they are not stopped.

My guess here is there is no chance this recovery package passes in its current form. You can read the quotes up above from some of the politicians. They are all agitated by the lack of transparency around the first TARP. Congress was fooled once, they won't be fooled again. I expect much harsher regulations for Wall St this go around, and Congress will want to know exactly how this additional money is spent(that is if they ever approve it).

I think there is a slight chance that this recovery plan never gets passed. There seems to be more and more resentment towards the banks in this country. I think Congress and the people will want blood before we give these fraudsters another dime!

Lets hope there is some sense of decency and morality left in Congress to put a stop to all of this. They need to stand up to the pigmen on Wall St. before they rob and destroy whats left of this country. The TALF and the bailouts must stop immediately. This money is all being wasted and we will badly need it down the road as we head into a depression

I wish I had a special potion that allowed me to bring back our founding fathers from the dead.

This nonsense would have been stopped in its tracks long ago if they were alive today.

16 comments:

Anonymous said...

.......I just can't see how Obama could get it passed after the Stimulus debate (which $$$ appears more than lacking).

I guess, I wouldn't be surprised if Obama 'lays it on the line' during tomorrow's press conference and gives an honest (i.e. sans politician speak) status report on the Country. This, IMO, would be the only way he could possibly manage to get enough people to go along with it.

Jeff said...

Joey

I agree. I can't see it happening. I will certianly be watching his speech tomorrow.

I think the bond market goes nuts if he somehow gets it through Congress


Futures are down tonight. ES -6

Interesting response so far. I would have thought we would get a pump on this. Perhaps we flush tomorrow?

Anonymous said...

First it was Monday, now its Tuesday, though it should have been last week, and so on...

I'm sure I'm not alone in saying, I have little (if any) confidence something lasting is going to come from the announcement.

Anonymous said...

On second thought, this may explain where the money, that has fled treasuries but not appeared in equities (i.e. buying pressure) may be going.

You did mention guys trying to front run when ever possible.

Jeff said...

J

I am beginning to think some money is starting to go under the mattress. Obama looks spooked and this whole thing is beginning to unravel.

If they can't get any juice from these bailouts things could get ugly fast. Confidence is slipping rapidly.

Remember how the market dumped on the TARP passage? I wouldn't be surprised to see the same on the stimulus. No one is for this thing. I think only 37% of Americans want to see it passed. Everyone knows the legislation is a joke and filled with pork.

ES now down -8.75 and Asia is up.

I am wondering if we bleed until there is some certianty around the bailouts. The market hates uncertianty.

Every trading site I read is bullish right now. That often tends to be a contrarion indicator.

I still think a move up is more likely but news trumps TA.

If this political wrangling continues it could get ugly until its settled.


Tomorrow should be interesting.

johndaniels said...

The globalist banking elites have taken over the government of the United States of America. The 'government enforced' financial institutions are in the preliminary stages of creating a cashless trade society, and draconian economic regulation. The time to resist is now; as the impending economic depression will deepen within the next two months. Major, unpopular initiatives will be dictated to us by this puppet regime; therefore preparations need to be made now for independence from this emerging system. Warning: There may not be an opportunity in the future to exit this 'new economy'.

These initiatives will further seek to enslave the population by maintaining a state of fear and perceived helplessness. Much like the bailout, they will decree to us and our political representatives that we have no choice. Mandatory acceptance of a government enforced 'bio-integrated' economic society is inevitable. This comes dangerously close to the New Testament's predictions of a trade based 'number of the beast'. We must recognize that this newborn abomination of government and financial institutions is our enemy.

Bank of America, JP Morgan, Citi, and other major globalist financial entities are seeking to have our government enforcing their debt. Think about that: The government acting as a collection agency for the banks. This would happen because the government would be a significant shareholder in these banks; acting against the debtor population on behalf of financial institutions. We are already witnessing how the elitist dictatorship has successfully bypassed the American people, and created this government-banking alliance through Congress. We've seen how our "representatives" caved to them, and passed the bailout when their constituencies absolutely opposed it. This trend must be reversed, before it's too late, and the people are rendered helpless to stop it.

Get your money out of the banks, keep just enough to pay monthly bills. Get off the grid; eliminate your dependence on the digital system by using cash/debit only. Prioritize your family over paying interest to the banks; they have enslaved us with interest on debt that never legally existed. Avoid assets that are easily found or attached, so you don't have to live in fear; and adjust your life to where the banks cannot hold leverage over you. Credit as we know it may not be significant in the future; so credit should be used to hoard future necessities to gain immediate liberation from and leverage over the financial institutions.

The truth is, 'We the People' have been fighting this war against the financial elites for centuries:

"I believe that banking institutions are more dangerous to our liberties than standing armies. Already they have raised up a moneyed aristocracy that has set the government at defiance. The issuing power should be taken from the banks and restored to the people, to whom it properly belongs." Thomas Jefferson.

"The bold efforts the present Bank has made to control the government...are but premonitions of the fate that awaits the American people, should they be deluded into a perpetuation of this institution or the establishment of another like it." President Andrew Jackson, 1787-1845.

"If the American people ever allow private banks to control the issue of currency, first by inflation, then by deflation, the banks and corporations that will grow up around them will deprive the people of all property until their children wake up homeless on the continent their fathers conquered." Thomas Jefferson.

Jeff said...

JD

I have started accumulating cash. Evertime I hit the ATM a good chunk of it gets saved for a rainy day.

I may begin to step it up if things start to unravel. I will be watching the markets like a hawk in the next few weeks.

Anonymous said...

It's all about hope right now and the president of hope will get his trillions and zillions thereby destroying the US. Guys, next time you don't vote for a community organizer who didn't achieve anything in his political life. When the hope fades, reality sets in and Jeff, you will have your march to Washington. People will take their guns to this event and there will be blood in the streets. It's become so obvious.

Anonymous said...

The comprehensive financial plan to be announced Tuesday by Treasury Secretary Tim Geithner will include an expanded loan facility that will purchase newly issued and newly rated Commercial mortgage-backed securities and private-label mortgage-backed securities, all AAA rated, CNBC has learned.

Time to bend over again for all these pigmen (http://www.cnbc.com/id/29086001). This doesn't bode well for SRS, btw.

This country turned into a joke. When will people stand up and fight. I think it's only when it's too late. When they'll have lost everything they will take their guns and clean up the mess in Washington.

Jeff said...

HEHE

Don't be so sure.

Futures have headed straight down.

ES now -11.

Been dropping all night. SRS and anything else will open up tomorrow if the futures hold.

Nikkei has also pulled back to flat after being up 2.25% at the open.

This news is getting sold folks. It might be a good day for the shorts tomorrow. Lets see where we are tomorrow morning

Anonymous said...

I've "de-banked." Moved everything to a credit union. They're marginally safer than banks, but at least there aren't any assholes getting bonuses after losing billions. Hell, the people are nicer and there are no damn fees. I'm not sure why I used banks in the first place.

Jeff said...

Joe

thats a solid move. SPIC insured. I have a credit union. Perhaps I will do the same!

Geithner tomorrow. Nothing but a bunch of chop today.

Call it "the calm before the storm".

Anonymous said...

Is the calm bullish or bearish?

Jeff said...

who knows. There will be banks that go to zero based on the recovery plan tomorrow and others that moonshot because they survive.

This is a total roll of the dice as far as I am concerned. I think thats why you saw such a flat day in the markets today.

James B said...

The whole thing is outrageous. I'm speechless. I'm almost wishing I hadn't read your blog this weekend because I was so annoyed! God, I think it's time to take up alcoholism to forget about all this.

Unfortunately, I think they're just going to throw more and more money at this until we're completely broke. I remember where George Soros made $1 billion from the UK government when they tried to bail the pound out of the ERM... can anyone remind me why we trust the government to get anything right?

Jeff said...

Minton I hear ya!

The bad bank just officially died.

I will have a post up in about an hour. This is getting more disgusting by the day.

Private equity is about to pull off the biggest heist in history.